How long will my dough take?

Set your dough temperature and how much starter you use. You get bulk fermentation, proofing and a schedule for your day, based on Bill Wraith's fermentation model.

These are rough ballpark figures. Every starter, flour and kitchen is different. Use the times to plan your day, not to decide when your dough is done. For the details, follow the bulk fermentation chart in my book. The limits of this table are listed below.

Dough temperature
24°C

Measure the dough, not the room. A probe thermometer in the dough is enough.

Starter in your recipe
10%
of the flour weight

That is 4.8% inoculation: the share of all flour that is already fermented. What's that?

What are you fermenting?
Make it fit your starter (optional)

Feed your starter, note when it has doubled, and enter it here. The calculator then scales every time to your starter, as Bill suggests.

°C

Your times

Bulk fermentationfrom mixing until you shape6 h 45 min
Proofingfrom shaping until baking2 h 25 min
Mix to bakeboth together9 h 10 min

Rough ballpark figures. To know when your dough is really done, use the bulk fermentation chart.

Mix9:00
Shape15:45
Bake18:10

All the numbers

Find your dough temperature, then go across to the amount of starter you use. Tap a time to see all four times for that dough.

Show
Dough
Unit

Bulk fermentation for a dough with 2% salt, starter at 100% hydration as a share of the flour weight. Rough ballpark figures.

Starter → dough temp. ↓ 2% (1.0% inoc.) 5% (2.4% inoc.) 10% (4.8% inoc.) 15% (7.0% inoc.) 20% (9.1% inoc.) 30% (13.0% inoc.) 50% (20.0% inoc.)
10 °C (50 °F) 80h 64h 52h 45h 40h 34h 28h
12 °C (54 °F) 57h 45h 37h 32h 29h 24h 20h
14 °C (57 °F) 41h 33h 26h 23h 21h 18h 14h
16 °C (61 °F) 30h 24h 19h 17h 15h 13h 10h
18 °C (64 °F) 22h 17h 14h 12h 11h 9h 25 7h 40
19 °C (66 °F) 19h 15h 12h 11h 9h 35 8h 10 6h 40
20 °C (68 °F) 17h 13h 11h 9h 15 8h 25 7h 10 5h 50
21 °C (70 °F) 15h 12h 9h 20 8h 05 7h 20 6h 15 5h 05
22 °C (72 °F) 13h 10h 8h 20 7h 15 6h 30 5h 35 4h 30
23 °C (73 °F) 12h 9h 15 7h 30 6h 30 5h 50 5h 00 4h 00
24 °C (75 °F) 10h 8h 15 6h 45 5h 50 5h 15 4h 30 3h 40
25 °C (77 °F) 9h 40 7h 40 6h 15 5h 25 4h 50 4h 10 3h 20
26 °C (79 °F) 8h 55 7h 05 5h 45 5h 00 4h 30 3h 50 3h 05
27 °C (81 °F) 8h 25 6h 40 5h 25 4h 45 4h 15 3h 35 2h 55
28 °C (82 °F) 8h 15 6h 35 5h 20 4h 35 4h 10 3h 30 2h 50
29 °C (84 °F) 8h 00 6h 25 5h 10 4h 30 4h 05 3h 25 2h 50
Shorter Longer

24 °C, 10% starter

4.8% inoculation, dough with 2% salt

Bulk 6 h 45 min
Proofing 2 h 25 min
Mix to bake 9 h 10 min
Doubling 7 h 15 min

What the numbers mean

Bulk fermentation

From mixing until you shape. Bill ends bulk a little before the dough has doubled.

Proofing

From shaping until the dough is ready for the oven, at the same temperature.

Mix to bake

Bulk fermentation and proofing together: when your bread goes into the oven.

Doubling time

How long the dough would take to double if you left it alone. Use it to compare your starter with Bill's.

What changes the time

  • Dough temperature. Measure the dough, not the room. Between 18 and 24 °C (64 and 75 °F), every degree Celsius warmer saves about 10 to 13% of the time. Below that it's about 15% per degree. Above 27 °C (81 °F), more warmth hardly speeds things up anymore.
  • How much starter. Twice the starter cuts bulk fermentation by about a quarter. The Sourdough Framework recommends 5 to 10% starter and explains why.
  • Salt. 2% salt makes everything about 20% slower. Use "no salt" for a levain or for your starter itself.
  • Your starter. A lively starter can be twice as fast as a sleepy one. That's why the times are a first guess until you have compared your starter with Bill's.

Inoculation, explained

Bill's table counts the flour that is already fermented, the flour inside your starter, as a share of all the flour in the dough. He calls that the inoculation. A starter at 100% hydration is half flour, so 20% starter in a recipe is about 9% inoculation, and 10% starter is about 5%. This page does the conversion for you.

Limitations: read this before you trust the clock

Every time on this page is a rough ballpark figure. Bill built the model from his own test doughs in 2007 and 2008. It is a good way to plan your day, but it doesn't measure your dough. These are its known limits:

  1. Bill's starter, Bill's flour. The times are tuned to his starter and a flour mix of about 85% white, 10% whole wheat and 5% whole rye. Your starter can be much faster or slower.
  2. One kind of dough. 75% hydration with white flour, and either no salt or 2% salt. Whole grain, very stiff or very wet doughs, and doughs with sugar, butter, milk or eggs ferment differently.
  3. One temperature from start to finish. Real kitchens warm up and cool down. Proofing in the fridge isn't covered at all.
  4. Limited range. 10 to 29.4 °C (50 to 85 °F) and 0.5 to 25% inoculation. Outside that, this page shows the nearest edge of the table.
  5. Fixed end points. Bulk ends a little before doubling, proofing at Bill's idea of ready. How far you can push your dough depends on your flour: stronger flour can take more.
  6. Not in the model. Starter health (a sleepy starter straight from the fridge), the flour's freshness and enzymes, the temperature right after mixing, stretch and folds, your water.
  7. Estimates between the points. Bill's table has 5 °F steps and eight starter amounts. Everything in between is our interpolation.

My book puts it plainly: "The worst thing you can do when fermenting sourdough is to rely on a recipe's timing suggestions." Use the table to plan, then let the dough decide. For the details, start with the bulk fermentation chart. The Sourdough Framework is free to read online:

Read The Sourdough Framework

Credit

The model and every number in this table are by Bill Wraith, known as bwraith on The Fresh Loaf. He built it in 2007 and 2008 from his test doughs, scientific papers and baking books, and shared it with the words "Use it as is, and modify it as you like." His website is no longer reachable, so I keep his original table, unchanged, here. This page is my easier way to read it: same numbers, interpolated in between.